Émission de L'Autre Monde du 13 janvier 2008: Nouvelles du monde et réchauffement ou refroidissement du climat?

Émission de L'Autre Monde du 13 janvier 2008: Nouvelles du monde et réchauffement ou refroidissement du climat?


Émission de L'Autre Monde du 13 janvier 2008: Télécharger cette émission (60 min)

Pour écouter, simplement cliquer sur le lien ici: L'Autre Monde 13 janvier 2008

Pour télécharger, faite un clique droit puis “enregistrer la cible sous…”

8 janvier 2008:Tour du monde avec LNI/ Réchauffement climatique ou refroidissement?


Considérez ceci:

- Il est un fait que les températures globales n'ont pas augmenté depuis au moins 2001. Le réchauffement climatique a cessé temporairement ou de façon permanente. Ceci ne rejoint pas la théorie populaire du réchauffement dû aux gaz à effets de serre. En effet, depuis 1998 le dioxide de carbone a continué de s'accumuler dans l'atmosphère - une augmentation de 4% - alors que les températures globales sont inchangées. Si la théorie du réchauffement climatique dû aux gaz à effets de serre était vraie, la température globale devrait être 0.3 degré plus chaude aujourd'hui que ce qu'elle est actuellement. Ceci est un sérieux problème, et nous dépensons des milliards à chaque année, et ce, peut-être pour rien.

Il serait probablement sage aussi de prendre note des nombreux records de froid que le monde a connu récemment. Les exemples sont nombreux, et sortent de l'ordinaire.

- L'Amérique du Sud a connu des vagues de froid comme on n'avait pas vu depuis longtemps: À Buenos Aires, il a neigé pour la première fois depuis 89 ans, au Pérou le froid tellement intense a tué des centaines de personnes et le gouvernement a dû déclarer l'état d'urgence dans 14 des 24 provinces. En août, l'agriculture du Chili a subit des pertes de $200 millions dans un hivers jugé le plus dur depuis 50 ans selon le ministre de l'agriculture.

David Deming, un géophysicien de l'Université d'Oklahoma a rapporté dans le Washington Times qu'en fait tout l'hémisphère sud a été balayé par des froids intenses en 2007. À Johannesbourg, on a fait l'expérience d'une vraie chute de neige significative depuis un quart de siècle. L'Australie a connu son plus froid mois de juin de tout les temps.

Le printemps et l'été en Nouvelle-Zélande furent tellement froids que des récoltes ont été perdu. L'Indonésie a aussi connu son année la plus froide depuis des années. Au New Hampshire, le mois dernier, ils ont reçu 44.5" de neige, battant le record précédent de 1876 de 43"! Le gouvernement canadien a averti que cet hivers serait le plus froid depuis 15 ans. Les températures battent des records de froid et la glace se reforme dans des places comme à Disko Bay, au Groenland, où on avait pas vu de glace se former dans la baie depuis 10 ans.

Il a neigé et fait froid en Floride et à Hawaii il y a quelques semaines. Même chose au Mexique, où quelques personnes en sont mortes. Et le plus surprenant et venant des nouvelles de la semaine passé et de cette semaine: il a neigé à Baghdad (du pas vu depuis au moins 80 ans)ainsi qu'en Arabie Saoudite(records de froid pas vu depuis 20 ans) !!!!

Finalement, qu'est-ce qui pourrait expliquer tout ça? Et bien la NASA et le National Space Center, en plus des spécialistes russes, ont confirmé que la surface du soleil change de phase et termine deux cycles: un de 11 ans et un autre de 200 ans. Nous allons entrer dans un cycle beaucoup plus froid pour les 20 à 30 prochaines années, semble t-il. Ce sont des cycles observés depuis 1100 ans et ont plus de 90% d'exactitude. Apparemment que la dernière fois que ça s'est produit, durant le Dalton Minimum à partir de 1793 à 1830, ce fut une période de froid extrême qui engendra une période de crise de subsistance étant donné que les cultures ne pouvaient plus se faire même durant l'été.

Dire qu'on veut nous taxer pour le CO2 pour arrêter le réchauffement climatique. Va t-on nous taxer pour la glace dans une ère de refroidissement?

Tour du Monde LNI

** Nouvel horaire pour L’Autre Monde

Nous avons un début un peu irrégulier pour L'Autre Monde. Nous sommes passé du dimanche 20h30 au jeudi à 11h00. On va revenir à l'horaire régulier cet été. Cette émission a été produite à partir du 13 janvier 2008 et remplace l'émission qui est archivé sous la date du 8 janvier 2008 sur le site de CHOQ FM.

Alors ne manquez pas d'écouter l'émission de jeudi 17 janvier, car on a une excellente entrevue téléphonique avec le professeur Michel Chossudovsky sur la situation explosive au Pakistan et au Moyen-Orient.

8 janvier : -Tour du monde avec LNI

- Réchauffement climatique ou refroidissement?

Réchauffement climatique?

Has global warming stopped?

The fact is that the global temperature of 2007 is statistically the same as 2006 as well as every year since 2001. Global warming has, temporarily or permanently, ceased. Temperatures across the world are not increasing as they should according to the fundamental theory behind global warming – the greenhouse effect.

Something else is happening and it is vital that we find out what or else we may spend hundreds of billions of pounds needlessly.

In principle the greenhouse effect is simple. Gases like carbon dioxide present in the atmosphere absorb outgoing infrared radiation from the earth’s surface causing some heat to be retained.

Consequently an increase in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases from human activities such as burning fossil fuels leads to an enhanced greenhouse effect. Thus the world warms, the climate changes and we are in trouble.

For nearly a decade now, there has been no global warming. Even though atmospheric carbon dioxide continues to accumulate - it's up about 4 percent since 1998 - the global mean temperature has remained flat. That raises some obvious questions about the theory that CO₂ is the cause of climate change.

It is currently about 390 parts per million. Pre-industrial levels were about 285 ppm. Since 1960 when accurate annual measurements became more reliable it has increased steadily from about 315 ppm. If the greenhouse effect is working as we think then the Earth’s temperature will rise as the carbon dioxide levels increase.

But here it starts getting messy and, perhaps, a little inconvenient for some. Looking at the global temperatures as used by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the UK’s Met Office and the IPCC (and indeed Al Gore) it’s apparent that there has been a sharp rise since about 1980.

The period 1980-98 was one of rapid warming – a temperature increase of about 0.5 degrees C (CO2 rose from 340ppm to 370ppm). But since then the global temperature has been flat (whilst the CO2 has relentlessly risen from 370ppm to 380ppm). This means that the global temperature today is about 0.3 deg less than it would have been had the rapid increase continued.

For the past decade the world has not warmed. Global warming has stopped. It’s not a viewpoint or a sceptic’s inaccuracy. It’s an observational fact. Clearly the world of the past 30 years is warmer than the previous decades and there is abundant evidence (in the northern hemisphere at least) that the world is responding to those elevated temperatures. But the evidence shows that global warming as such has ceased.

Les records de froid dont vous n’avez pas entendu parlé, parce qu’on est occupé à vous vendre le réchauffement du climat dû au CO2 et la taxe qui va l’accompagner

Br-r-r! Where did global warming go?

In South America, for example, the start of winter last year was one of the coldest ever observed. According to Eugenio Hackbart, chief meteorologist of the MetSul Weather Center in Brazil, "a brutal cold wave brought record low temperatures, widespread frost, snow, and major energy disruption." In Buenos Aires, it snowed for the first time in 89 years, while in Peru the cold was so intense that hundreds of people died and the government declared a state of emergency in 14 of the country's 24 provinces. In August, Chile's agriculture minister lamented "the toughest winter we have seen in the past 50 years," which caused losses of at least $200 million in destroyed crops and livestock.

Latin Americans weren't the only ones shivering.

University of Oklahoma geophysicist David Deming, a specialist in temperature and heat flow, notes in the Washington Times that "unexpected bitter cold swept the entire Southern Hemisphere in 2007." Johannesburg experienced its first significant snowfall in a quarter-century. Australia had its coldest ever June. New Zealand's vineyards lost much of their 2007 harvest when spring temperatures dropped to record lows.

Closer to home, 44.5 inches of snow fell in New Hampshire last month, breaking the previous record of 43 inches, set in 1876. And the Canadian government is forecasting the coldest winter in 15 years.

Ice returns as Greenland temps plummet

While the rest of Europe is debating the prospects of global warming during an unseasonably mild winter, a brutal cold snap is raging across the semi-autonomous nation of Greenland.

On Disko Bay in western Greenland, where a number of prominent world leaders have visited in recent years to get a first-hand impression of climate change, temperatures have dropped so drastically that the water has frozen over for the first time in a decade.

'The ice is up to 50cm thick,' said Henrik Matthiesen, an employee at Denmark's Meteorological Institute who has also sailed the Greenlandic coastline for the Royal Arctic Line. 'We've had loads of northerly winds since Christmas which has made the area miserably cold.'

Matthiesen suggested the cold weather marked a return to the frigid temperatures common a decade ago.

"We face a crisis in global warming cooling that must be dealt with by lowering raising the levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. This new tax will allow us to reduce increase levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, thereby cooling the planet restoring to Earth to its proper warm and cozy temperature."

Jan '08 - SNOW In FLORIDA - must be GLOBAL WARMING Right?

Several deaths from unusual freezing temperatures in Mexico

Unusual freezing temperatures in Mexico

A first! Snow falls in Baghdad

Global Cooling? Saudi Arabia covered with snow in coldest winter for 20 years

Northern parts of Saudi Arabia are covered with snow with schools, mosques and administrative bodies paralyzed, local media reported Friday.

"But, but, but, Al Gore said we were all gonna fry if we don't pay the government a carbon tax to save us from ourselves!!!!!"

Glaciers are growing around the world, including the United States

"Okay, okay, we drop the carbon tax and replace it with an ice tax. It's all the same money. All that matters is that it ends up in our pockets." -- Official White Horse Souse

Nouvelles données sur le soleil qui signifie la fin d’une période chaude et le retour vers une ère plus froide.

A cold spell soon to replace global warming

Astrophysics knows two solar activity cycles, of 11 and 200 years. Both are caused by changes in the radius and area of the irradiating solar surface. The latest data, obtained by Habibullah Abdusamatov, head of the Pulkovo Observatory space research laboratory, say that Earth has passed the peak of its warmer period, and a fairly cold spell will set in quite soon, by 2012. Real cold will come when solar activity reaches its minimum, by 2041, and will last for 50-60 years or even longer.

As it really is, scientists say the Arctic and Antarctic ice shields are growing. Physical and mathematical calculations predict a new Ice Age. It will come in 100,000 years, at the earliest, and will be much worse than the previous. Europe will be ice-bound, with glaciers reaching south of Moscow.

"Okay, then we change the carbon tax to an ice tax and everything will be just fine!" -- Official White Horse Souse

But what if the frigid conditions that have caused so much distress in recent months signal an impending era of global cooling?

"Stock up on fur coats and felt boots!" advises Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences and senior scientist at Moscow's Shirshov Institute of Oceanography. "The latest data . . . say that earth has passed the peak of its warmer period, and a fairly cold spell will set in quite soon, by 2012."

Sorokhtin dismisses the conventional global warming theory that greenhouse gases, especially human-emitted carbon dioxide, is causing the earth to grow hotter. Like a number of other scientists, he points to solar activity - sunspots and solar flares, which wax and wane over time - as having the greatest effect on climate.

"Carbon dioxide is not to blame for global climate change," Sorokhtin writes in an essay for Novosti. "Solar activity is many times more powerful than the energy produced by the whole of humankind." In a recent paper for the Danish National Space Center, physicists Henrik Svensmark and Eigil Friis-Christensen concur: "The sun . . . appears to be the main forcing agent in global climate change," they write.

***Changes in the Sun’s Surface to Bring Next Climate Change

Today, the Space and Science Research Center, (SSRC) in Orlando, Florida announces that it has confirmed the recent web announcement of NASA solar physicists that there are substantial changes occurring in the sun’s surface. The SSRC has further researched these changes and has concluded they will bring about the next climate change to one of a long lasting cold era.

Director of the SSRC, John Casey has reaffirmed earlier research he led that independently discovered the sun’s changes are the result of a family of cycles that bring about climate shifts from cold climate to warm and back again.

“We today confirm the recent announcement by NASA that there are historic and important changes taking place on the sun’s surface. This will have only one outcome - a new climate change is coming that will bring an extended period of deep cold to the planet. This is not however a unique event for the planet although it is critically important news to this and the next generations. It is but the normal sequence of alternating climate changes that has been going on for thousands of years. Further according to our research, this series of solar cycles are so predictable that they can be used to roughly forecast the next series of climate changes many decades in advance. I have verified the accuracy of these cycles’ behavior over the last 1,100 years relative to temperatures on Earth, to well over 90%.”

As to what these changes are Casey says, “The sun’s surface flows have slowed dramatically as NASA has indicated.

All records of sunspot counts and other proxies of solar activity going back 6,000 years clearly validates our own findings that when we have sunspot counts lower then 50 it means only one thing - an intense cold climate, globally. NASA says the solar cycle 25, the one after the next that starts this spring will be at 50 or lower. The general opinion of the SSRC scientists is that it could begin even sooner within 3 years with the next solar cycle 24. What we are saying today is that my own research and that of the other scientists at the SSRC verifies that NASA is right about one thing – a solar cycle of 50 or lower is headed our way. With this next solar minimum predicted by NASA, what I call a “solar hibernation,” the SSRC forecasts a much colder Earth just as it has transpired before for thousands of years. If NASA is the more accurate on the schedule, then we may see even warmer temperatures before the bottom falls out. If the SSRC and other scientists around the world are correct then we have only a few years to prepare before 20-30 years of lasting and possibly dangerous cold arrive.”

When asked about what this will mean to the average person on the street, Casey was firm. “The last time this particular cycle regenerated was over 200 years ago. I call it the “Bi-Centennial Cycle” solar cycle. It took place between 1793 and 1830, the so-called Dalton Minimum, a period of extreme cold that resulted in what historian John D. Post called the ‘last great subsistence crisis.’ With that cold came massive crops losses, food riots, famine and disease. I believe this next climate change will be much stronger and has the potential to once more cause widespread crop losses globally with the resultant ill effects. The key difference for this next Bi-Centennial Cycle’s impact versus the last is that we will have over 8 billion mouths to feed in the next coldest years where as we had only 1 billion the last time. Among other effects like social and economic disruption, we are facing the real prospect of the ‘perfect storm of global food shortages’ in the next climate change. In answer to the question, everyone on the street will be affected.”

Given the importance of the next climate change Casey was asked whether the government has been notified. “Yes, as soon as my research revealed these solar cycles and the prediction of the coming cold era with the next climate change, I notified all the key offices in the Bush administration including both parties in the Senate and House science committees as well as most of the nation’s media outlets. Unfortunately, because of the intensity of coverage of the UN IPCC and man made global warming during 2007, the full story about climate change is very slow in getting told. These changes in the sun have begun. They are unstoppable. With the word finally starting to get out about the next climate change, hopefully we will have time to prepare. Right now, the newly organized SSRC is the leading independent research center in the US and possibly worldwide, that is focused on the next climate change. Some of the world’s brightest scientists, also experts in solar physics and the next climate change have joined with me. In the meantime we will do our best to spread the word along with NASA and others who can see what is about to take place for the Earth’s climate. Soon, I believe this will be recognized as the most important climate story of this century.”

More information on the Space and Science Research Center is available at: www.spaceandscience.net

The previous NASA announcement was made at:

http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10may_longrange.htm

Sarkozy proposes carbon tax for EU

In a letter to European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, made public Tuesday, French President Nicolas Sarkozy has proposed the establishment of a so-called carbon import tax to punish countries who do not conform to greenhouse gas emission limits. In this scheme, nations importing products from these polluter countries would be forced to pay a tariff on the goods or be obligated to purchase emission permits.

"We face a crisis in global warming cooling that must be dealt with by lowering raising the levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. This new tax will allow us to reduce increase levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, thereby cooling the planet restoring to Earth to its proper warm and cozy temperature."